Adam Khoja

Researcher & writer · Center for AI Safety

Google Scholar/ X/ LinkedIn/ GitHub/ Substack

I'm a researcher and writer focused on making AI go well. I'm also interested in math, forecasting and futurism, chess, and EDM.

As an undergraduate at UC Berkeley, I had the pleasure of being advised in my research by Mantas Mazeika and Dan Hendrycks, where I focused primarily on benchmarking (a lot of it). I cofounded the university's student AI Safety club (BASIS) in 2022 and established SPAR as an intercollegiate research program in 2023. I graduated with degrees in Math and Computer Science in 2025.

Since 2023, I have worked at the Center for AI Safety (CAIS) on a host of projects spanning research engineering, policy research, writing, and management. Some highlights:

• I have thought a lot about the geopolitics of AI, most notably as a primary contributor to Superintelligence Strategy. I've studied the strategic feasibility of AI deterrence and MAIM, as well as whether the prospect of intentionally-induced AI betrayal can deter poorly-secured AI deployments.
• I was the project lead for a one-sentence statement on AI extinction risk in 2023, which was signed by AI CEOs and distinguished scientists.
• I've been involved (usually as a research engineer, often as a writer and advisor) in much of the technical research CAIS has released since 2024.
• I am the lead editor of AI Frontiers, a publication which hosts expert analysis on AI and its societal implications.

I find value in forecasting the trajectory of AI, both as an exercise to crystallize my own thinking, but also to build an explicit track record and draw attention to the urgency of our fast-approaching future. Manifold Markets has been the main place where I've registered predictions about AI timelines. I think using AI for epistemics is promising and would like to see more people working on differentially enhancing and diffusing this use case.

Please don't hesitate to reach out to me by email at adam@adamkhoja.com. You can also book a meeting here; I always enjoy meeting new people via cold calls.